Influence

Route  ·  12 chapters

Is this person lying

Deception detection is mostly a list of things that do not work. Four of them first, then the methods that beat chance — all of which work by raising the cost of maintaining a lie rather than by watching a face.

1 Fifty-Four Percent: The Ceiling on Human Lie DetectionChapter 51, part 2  —  Two structural facts produce the ceiling: valid behavioral cues to deception are weak and inconsistent, and…
2 The Gaze Aversion Myth: A World That Agrees and Is WrongChapter 52, part 2  —  The near-universality of the belief coexists with meta-analytic evidence that gaze aversion does not reliably…
3 The Eyes Don’t Have It: Killing the NLP Eye-Movement ModelChapter 53, part 2  —  Neuro-linguistic programming’s eye-accessing-cue model asserts that gaze direction maps onto constructed…
4 Voice Stress Analysis: A Technology That Does Not WorkChapter 50, part 2  —  Commercial voice stress analysers claim to detect involuntary ‘microtremors’ in the voice indicating stress,…
5 Strategic Use of Evidence: Letting the Liar Trap HimselfChapter 100, part 4  —  SUE exploits an asymmetry in counter-interrogation strategies: guilty suspects avoid and deny known…
6 Tell It Backwards: Vrij’s Cognitive Load ApproachChapter 108, part 4  —  Lying is cognitively more demanding than truth-telling — the liar must fabricate, monitor the interviewer,…
7 The Founder’s Own False Confession: Darrel Parker, Lincoln, 1955Chapter 92, part 4  —  Parker’s case demonstrates the internalised false confession described by Kassin and Wrightsman: prolonged…
8 The Behavior Analysis Interview: Reading Guilt That Isn’t ThereChapter 94, part 4  —  Vrij, Mann and Fisher found that liars in real-world-style interviews often behaved in the opposite direction…
9 Brendan Dassey: Suggestibility, Youth, and the Fed-Back DetailChapter 97, part 4  —  Dassey’s intellectual limitations plus adolescent compliance created maximal interrogative suggestibility as…
10 Algorithms That Claim to See Lies: VeriPol, iBorderCtrl, EyeDetectChapter 120, part 4  —  These systems learn statistical correlates of deception in text, facial dynamics or pupil and eye-movement…
11 Fifty-Four Percent: Why You Cannot Spot a Liar and What Works InsteadChapter 318, part 11  —  Bond and DePaulo established that unaided human lie detection barely beats chance, and that confidence is…
12 Protecting the Record: Defending Memory Against ContaminationChapter 330, part 11  —  Loftus demonstrated that memory is reconstructive: leading questions and post-event information are…

Start at chapter 51